Contributed by: Jim Brigham, Risk/Threat Mitigation Expert
In the ever-evolving landscape of organizational security, government agencies face unique internal threats that can manifest without warning. According to the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), targeted acts of workplace violence are frequently preceded by observable behaviors—suggesting that timely recognition and reporting of these cues can facilitate effective intervention before harm occurs 11. This blog post explores behavioral risk assessment and early threat detection techniques that government leaders can use to identify potential hazards and keep their workforces safe.
Why Behavioral Risk Assessment Matters
Behavioral risk assessment provides a structured, proactive approach to identifying and evaluating potential threats originating from within an agency. Rather than relying solely on reactive measures, this model emphasizes recognizing warning signs at the earliest stages.
- Prevention Over Reaction: By spotting troubling behavior early, agencies can mitigate risks before they escalate into workplace violence or insider threats.
- Enhanced Trust and Morale: A transparent and fair assessment process reassures employees that leadership prioritizes their well-being.
- Organizational Resilience: Early detection minimizes disruptions to operations and protects an agency’s reputation.
Identifying Atypical Behaviors and Social Cues
Knowing what to look for is the first step in early threat detection. The U.S. Secret Service’s National Threat Assessment Center (NTAC) emphasizes that changes in an individual’s baseline conduct, when observed collectively, may point to potential risks 33. Although any single indicator may not confirm a threat, patterns of concern warrant investigation.
- Sudden Behavioral Shifts
- Marked changes in demeanor, appearance, or work habits
- Increased volatility, aggression, or disproportionate emotional reactions
- Psychological Indicators
- Expressions of hopelessness, paranoia, or heightened stress
- Obsessive thinking about weapons or violent acts
- Escalating substance misuse or visible mental health struggles
- Social and Interpersonal Cues
- Withdrawal from colleagues or deliberate isolation
- Persistent conflicts or harassment complaints
- Inappropriate language, harassment, or bullying behaviors
Structured Frameworks for Threat Detection
- Threat Assessment Teams (TATs)
A multi-disciplinary Threat Assessment Team is often central to effective risk management. Comprised of human resources professionals, security specialists, mental health experts, and legal counsel, TATs streamline communication and decision-making.
- Centralized Reporting: Clear protocols help employees know how to report concerns—without fear of retaliation.
- Consistent Evaluation: TATs follow standardized processes for information collection, ensuring equitable treatment and thorough investigation.
- Evidence-Based Evaluation
Data-driven assessments rely on corroborating information to determine credibility:
- Interviews & Observations: Firsthand reports from managers, coworkers, or security personnel
- Digital Indicators: Emails, social media posts, or internal communication logs that provide context
- Documented Incidents: Past behavioral infractions, performance data, or complaints
- Risk Mitigation & Intervention
If TAT findings indicate a credible threat, prompt action can include:
- Security Measures: Heightened access controls, camera surveillance, and increased on-site security presence
- Employee Support: Counseling, mediation sessions, or Employee Assistance Programs (EAPs) to address underlying issues
- Collaborative Partnerships: Where necessary, engage local law enforcement or external behavioral health professionals
- Continuous Monitoring & Follow-Up
Threat assessment is not a one-time process. Ongoing observation ensures that risk levels are reevaluated and interventions remain effective.
- Periodic Check-ins: Assess whether the individual’s behavior has improved or escalated
- Policy Updates: Integrate new threat intelligence into refined policies and procedures
- Feedback Loops: Gather lessons learned to sharpen future prevention and response efforts
Cultivating a Culture of Early Detection
Even the most robust frameworks rely on a workplace culture that supports vigilance and candor:
- Encourage Reporting: Promote a “see something, say something” mindset, as recommended by the U.S. Department of Homeland Security 44.
- Regular Training: Conduct workshops on identifying suspicious behaviors, workplace violence prevention, and proper reporting channels.
- Transparent Leadership: Communicate the outcomes of interventions when appropriate, reinforcing the agency’s commitment to safety.
Conclusion
Behavioral risk assessment and early threat detection are not optional for government agencies—they are integral to modern security strategy. By recognizing early warning signs, implementing structured threat assessment frameworks, and promoting a culture of open communication, organizations can shield their employees and the broader public from preventable incidents.
At LCG, we specialize in helping government agencies develop and refine behavioral risk management programs, ensuring a proactive stance against evolving threats. Reach out to us at www.lcg-gov.us to learn more about our approach and how we can support your security and resilience initiatives.
References
- Federal Bureau of Investigation. (2017). Making Prevention a Reality: Identifying, Assessing, and Managing the Threat of Targeted Attacks.
- Occupational Safety and Health Administration. (n.d.). Workplace Violence. Retrieved from https://www.osha.gov/workplace-violence
- U.S. Secret Service, National Threat Assessment Center. (2019). Protecting America’s Schools: A U.S. Secret Service Analysis of Targeted School Violence.
- Department of Homeland Security. (n.d.). If You See Something, Say Something®. Retrieved from https://www.dhs.gov/see-something-say-something